Forecast outcomes sooner
Turn scattered team judgment about revenue, demand, launches, and risk into live probability signals leaders can track.
Generalized Hedged Prediction Market
Bring swarm intelligence into your organization
Launch governed internal markets that turn team judgment into signals for forecasts, risks, and decisions.
Organization market preview
Will Q4 revenue land above forecast?
YES
67%
Will the enterprise launch slip past Sep 30?
21K ACME volume
58%42%
Will sales pipeline cover Q4 target?
32K ACME volume
64%36%
Partner network
Exploring prediction markets with partners.
A growing network of teams is working with Sigmarket across token operations, governance, treasury, and internal analytics.
Enterprise value
Where internal markets create leverage.
Expose delivery risk
Surface schedule slips, operational bottlenecks, and cross-functional uncertainty before they become status-report surprises.
Align incentives with your token
Run markets with your organization's own asset, so participation, rewards, and accountability fit your internal ecosystem.
Signal layer
Visual signals for decisions already in motion.
Use market prices as a second lens beside forecasts, dashboards, and status updates.
Forecast delta
Q4 revenue above forecast
YES
67%
Market signal67%
Exec forecast54%
Last quarter49%
Finance desk +8%
Product risk +14%
Revenue desk +5%
Governed flow
Members onlyOrganization
Acme Labs
Token
ACME
Access
Members
Resolution
Oracle
How it works
From organization setup to governed markets.
01
Create an organization
Set the organization owner, default betting token, and whether members can create markets.
02
Invite members
Add or remove members, gate participation, and keep market access scoped to the right team.
03
Launch and manage markets
Create organization markets, attach oracle records for operators, and let settlement flow through the protocol.
Organization console
A control room for internal markets.
Give admins a single place to review market signals, manage access rules, and keep token-based participation aligned with the organization.
Acme Labs
Organization #024
Betting token
ACME
Members
128
Active markets
24
Access policy
Operators createMembers trade
Decision markets
Members
Will Q4 revenue land above forecast?
Finance desk
Will enterprise launch slip past Sep 30?
Product desk
Protocol layer
Organization controls built into the market core.
Sigmarket maps enterprise market operations to on-chain permissions: who owns the organization, which token markets use, who can create, and who can participate.
Organization registry
Owners, members, market-creation policy, and organization status live in a compact on-chain registry.
Token policy
Market creation enforces the organization's configured betting token, so each team can operate with its own asset.
Member-gated access
Participation is limited to organization members while preserving exits for users who already hold exposure.
Oracle records
Organization owners can maintain named oracle addresses for operator display and resolution workflows.
Our vision
A generalized real-world hedging tool.
Prediction markets are only the beginning. Sigmarket is building a probability layer for real-world exposure, so teams can price, route, and hedge risks across crypto, equities, commodities, rates, and macro events.
One routing layer for many exposures
CryptoEquitiesCommoditiesRatesMacro
Probability first
Market prices become a live signal that can sit beside existing forecasts and dashboards.
Built for action
Signals can move from observation into execution, risk review, and portfolio response.
Governed by design
Access rules, review steps, and settlement controls keep each market aligned with the team's operating model.
Portfolio-aware
Signals can map back to real exposures so teams can compare hedges, opportunity cost, and next moves.
300 signals - 4,000 paths - one market
Sigmarket V8 x Signal Swarm
Live - Mainnetround #716522:10:26 UTC
Easyclap - live marketBTC/SOL repricing
$829,335
realized - prediction markets4,062 trades71% winSharpe 4.21
Top reward
$97.9K
maker pool
Markets
245
active
Open interest
$27.3K
best signal
Resolution
24,407
checks
Easyclap - top item - Polymarket3 / 5
x245
+10avg up - btc room #21.3k
+$22,875
live pnl
entrypayout$57.52+$47,164edge +38.94%
agent routing
Orchestration topology - live
orchestrator
SIG 8.0
idledispatchroute
throughput34/s
success 99.6%lat 0.58msqueue 32
<+0.18ms feed - ok
<+0.52ms risk - ok
<+0.87ms route - ok
<+1.06ms settle - ok
agents 300active 73steps 1,945throughput 36/s
SIG
SCAN
SIGNAL
PRICE
RISK
ROUTE
Data ingestion - 5 feeds - cache
Exchange ticks0.8s1.2k/s
News stream1.4s920/s
Oracle pulse1.0s84/s
Wallet flow4ms2.8k/s
shared cache
hit99.7%ops6.8k/ssize9.6GB
Execution timeline
single agent - sequential
107 min - 1 worker - 4,000 steps in a line
signal swarm - parallel
40 sec - 300 agents - 3.7x faster
node class
Microfish - relationship graph simulation
Bear signal
Bull signal
Median path
Catalyst
bear paths349
bull paths1594
path sim2192
confidence98%
P(up)0.82
P(down)0.27
edge v book+36c
confidence94.8%
Enterprise access
Bring governed prediction markets into your organization.
Tell us which decisions you want to forecast first. We will use it to shape the pilot, access model, and onboarding plan.
Use case
Token model
Participants
Pilot metrics